The United States men’s national team are only one win away from a spot in the Gold Cup final, where they’ll face the winner of Mexico and Honduras. While this semifinal match is against Guatemala instead of the expected side in Canada, it goes to show how Concacaf has improved because any team can win on their day. The USMNT almost experienced that, facing Costa Rica, where Matt Freese had to save three penalties in order to avoid going out.
That win will help propel the USMNT in this clash with Guatemala. With Mexico winning the last edition of the Gold Cup, this could give the USMNT a chance to avenge that, while players on the roster are also looking to show why they should go to the World Cup in 2026.
Here are storylines, how you can watch the match and more:
How to watch USMNT vs. Guatemala, odds
- Date: Wednesday, July 2 | Time: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Energizer Park — St. Louis, Missouri
- TV: FS1 | Live stream: Fubo (try for free)
- Odds: USMNT -400; Draw +450; Guatemala +1000
Last meeting
These teams haven’t met since 2016, and Guatemala hasn’t scored a goal on the USMNT since 2012. This defense has had its moments of poor performances, but when that 2016 match ended in a 4-0 USMNT victory, it’s easy to see how this could go. Rubio Rubin has been in good form for Guatemala and will be someone that the USMNT defense has to watch out for, but this is a game where they should be able to get a few goals in the first half to cruise to victory.
USMNT predicted lineups
USMNT: Matt Freese, John Tolkin, Tim Ream, Chris Richards, Alex Freeman, Tyler Adams, Luca De La Torre, Diego Luna, Malik Tillman, Jack McGlynn, Patrick Agyemang
Player to watch
Malik Tillman, PSV: Even with missing a penalty in the Costa Rica match, there may not be a player who has improved their stock more during this tournament. With three goals and an assist, Tillman has been a central figure to this run and could be rewarded for that with a move to Bayer Leverkusen. Tillman is someone who was already likely in the USMNT squad for the 2026 World Cup, but with performances like these, he’s looking to break into the starting XI during the tournament. If others can follow his lead during this camp, the USMNT will be in a good place.
Storyline to watch
Can the USMNT operate as the favorites? Facing Costa Rica, the USMNT created issues for themselves in conceding penalties and having defensive lapses. It wasn’t even a full-strength Costa Rica side either, which is why the result has a tinge of concern despite the good ending. It’s something that this team has to work out of their systems under Pochettino and a strong performance here will go a long way. The USMNT must ensure that they aren’t beating themselves as competition gets harder all around.
Prediction
Luna will set the tone with an early goal, and it’ll be all USMNT from there. Like their opening match to this tournament, it will be a time that things are out of reach by halftime en route to the USMNT putting up a crooked number to book their place in the final. Pick: USMNT 5, Guatemala 0
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